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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | Ajax |
27.42% ( -2.79) | 21.94% ( 0.13) | 50.64% ( 2.66) |
Both teams to score 64.59% ( -2.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.09% ( -2.61) | 34.91% ( 2.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.11% ( -2.97) | 56.89% ( 2.98) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% ( -3.04) | 24.77% ( 3.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.66% ( -4.44) | 59.34% ( 4.45) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.87% ( -0.07) | 14.13% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.21% ( -0.14) | 41.79% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.42% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.86) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.82) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |