Neman

2 - 1

Smorgon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 9.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.22%) and 3-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.