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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Netherlands national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Hungary national football team

Netherlands
4 - 0
Hungary

Weghorst (21' pen.), Gakpo (45+12' pen.), Dumfries (64'), Koopmeiners (86')
Maduro (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Orban (6'), Dardai (55')

The Match

Match Report

Netherlands book their spot in the quarter-finals of the 2024-25 UEFA Nations League courtesy of a 4-0 victory over Hungary on Saturday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Netherlands and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Hungary.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Germany 1-0 Netherlands
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Hungary

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 0-2 Hungary
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Hungary win was 0-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawHungary
52.88% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 23.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.58% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.94% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (0.027000000000001 0.03)45.86% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (0.026 0.03)68.17% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (0.0040000000000049 0)17.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (0.035000000000011 0.04)33.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (0.036000000000001 0.04)70.21% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 52.87%
    Hungary 23.58%
    Draw 23.53%
NetherlandsDrawHungary
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 52.87%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 23.58%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Hungary

Netherlands
77.9%
Draw
11.6%
Hungary
10.5%
181
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Hungary
1-1
Netherlands
Sallai (32')
Varga (13'), Fiola (77')
Dumfries (83')
van Dijk (77')
van Dijk (79')
> Match Report
Oct 11, 2013 7.30pm
Qualifiers
Netherlands
8-1
Hungary
Van Persie (16', 44', 53'), Strootman (25'), Lens (38'), Devecseri (65' og.), Van der Vaart (86'), Robben (90')
Dzsudzsak (48')
Devecseri (55'), Guzmics (82')
> Match Report
Sep 11, 2012 7.30pm
Qualifiers
Hungary
1-4
Netherlands
Dzsudzsak
Lens, Martins Indi, Jan Huntelaar
rhs 2.0
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