MX23RW : Friday, November 15 00:03:51| >> :60:1913:1913:
Germany national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena
Hungary national football team

Germany
5 - 0
Hungary

Fullkrug (27'), Musiala (58'), Wirtz (66'), Pavlovic (77'), Havertz (81' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nego (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Germany and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Saturday's Nations League clash with Hungary.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Spain 2-1 Germany
Friday, July 5 at 5pm in European Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Scotland 0-1 Hungary
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in European Championship

We said: Germany 2-1 Hungary

Germany are yet to win the Nations League - or even progress beyond the group phase - in three previous attempts, but they should be among the favourites to prevail next June. With an abundance of attacking talent available, Julian Nagelsmann's men are set to beat a stubborn Hungary side again on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
GermanyDrawHungary
56.53% (-0.27 -0.27) 22.83% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 20.65% (0.204 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.28% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)46.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)68.45% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (-0.105 -0.11)16.12% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.47% (-0.193 -0.19)45.53% (0.195 0.2)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (0.184 0.18)36.48% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (0.184 0.18)73.27% (-0.184 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Germany 56.53%
    Hungary 20.65%
    Draw 22.82%
GermanyDrawHungary
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 56.53%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 20.65%

How you voted: Germany vs Hungary

Germany
79.0%
Draw
14.5%
Hungary
6.5%
200
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Germany
2-0
Hungary
Musiala (22'), Gundogan (67')
Rudiger (27'), Mittelstadt (89')

Varga (22'), Rossi (90+3'), Szoboszlai (90+3')
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Hungary
1-1
Germany
Nagy (6')
Sallai (17'), Gulacsi (86'), Adam (90')
Jun 23, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Germany
2-2
Hungary
Havertz (66'), Goretzka (84')
Gundogan (29'), Sane (61')
Szalai (11'), Schafer (68')
Botka (28'), Szalai (64'), Fiola (66')
Jun 4, 2016 5pm
International Friendlies
Germany
2-0
Hungary
Lang (39' og.), Muller (63')
Kroos (36')

Kleinheisler (42'), Gera (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!