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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Netherlands national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Germany national football team

Netherlands
2 - 2
Germany

Reijnders (2'), Dumfries (50')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Undav (38'), Kimmich (45+3')
Schlotterbeck (14'), Tah (24'), Raum (32'), Wirtz (86')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole rounds up the highlights, man of the match, and stats from an entertaining UEFA Nations League clash between the Netherlands and Germany.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Netherlands and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Netherlands 5-2 Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Germany

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Germany 5-0 Hungary
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawGermany
37.02% (0.114 0.11) 25.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 37.52% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 56.12% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)47.77% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04% (-0.058 -0.06)69.96% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (0.034000000000006 0.03)25.22% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (0.044999999999995 0.04)59.96% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)24.95% (0.098000000000003 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41% (-0.136 -0.14)59.59% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 37.02%
    Germany 37.52%
    Draw 25.46%
NetherlandsDrawGermany
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 37.02%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.52%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Germany

Netherlands
27.7%
Draw
26.2%
Germany
46.1%
332
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Germany
2-1
Netherlands
Mittelstadt (11'), Fullkrug (85')
Andrich (53'), Kroos (66')
Veerman (4')
Blind (17')
> Match Report
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
International Friendly
Netherlands
1-1
Germany
Bergwijn (68')
Depay (29'), de Jong (86')
Muller (45+1')
Raum (83'), Rudiger (89')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Germany
2-4
Netherlands
> Match Report
Mar 24, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
2-3
Germany
> Match Report
Nov 19, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Germany
2-2
Netherlands
Werner (9'), Sane (20')
Hummels (14'), Kroos (52'), Kimmich (68')
Promes (85'), Van Dijk (90')
Wijnaldum (38')
rhs 2.0
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