Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.