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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 19, 2024 at 10.45am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Newcastle Jets
1 - 1
Wellington

Paulsen (15' og.)
Timmins (17'), Cancar (65'), Jenkinson (66'), Ingham (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barbarouses (71')
Wootton (68')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Victory
Friday, April 12 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawWellington Phoenix
44.7% (0.151 0.15) 22.6% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 32.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 65.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.01% (0.036000000000001 0.04)34.98% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.03% (0.039000000000001 0.04)56.97% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (0.070999999999998 0.07)16.24% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25% (0.129 0.13)45.75% (-0.126 -0.13)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)21.65% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)54.77% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 44.7%
    Wellington Phoenix 32.7%
    Draw 22.6%
Newcastle JetsDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.013 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 32.7%

Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 7am
Gameweek 14
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Wellington
Buhagiar (80')
Stamatelopoulos (23'), Natta (77')
Rufer (5' pen.), Zawada (87')
Al-Taay (43'), Pennington (45+3'), Rufer (85')
Dec 9, 2023 6.30am
Gameweek 7
Wellington
0-3
Newcastle Jets

Rufer (45+1'), Barbarouses (90+1')
Stamatelopoulos (4', 47'), Taylor (43')
Cancar (29')
Mar 4, 2023 2am
Gameweek 19
Wellington
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Elliot (40'), Zawada (45+6' pen.)
Saito (51')
Oct 22, 2022 7am
Mar 18, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 19
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Boumal (51', 63'), Mikeltadze (67'), Babalj (83')
Al-Taay (35'), Mikeltadze (77')

Laws (4'), Elliot (74')
rhs 2.0
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