MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 04:52:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 12, 2024 at 8am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Wellington
1 - 0
Victory

Surman (90+5' og.)
Payne (31'), Ball (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Monge (34'), Da Silva (90+1')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Wellington
Saturday, April 6 at 7.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 6 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
27.62% (-0.41 -0.41) 22.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 49.4% (0.42 0.42)
Both teams to score 60.95% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.23% (-0.261 -0.26)39.77% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.87% (-0.273 -0.27)62.13% (0.274 0.27)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-0.419 -0.42)27.16% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-0.549 -0.55)62.56% (0.551 0.55)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67% (0.057000000000002 0.06)16.33% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08% (0.1 0.1)45.92% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 27.62%
    Melbourne Victory 49.4%
    Draw 22.98%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-0 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 3.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.115 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.73% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.6% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.99% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 49.4%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
1-1
Victory
Rufer (90+5' pen.)
Payne (45+8')
Chapman (79')
Traore (36')
Nov 10, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 4
Victory
1-1
Wellington
Teague (14')
Geria (83')
Da Silva (41' og.)
Pennington (8'), Surman (18'), Kelly-Heald (45+4'), Payne (89')
Apr 1, 2023 3am
Gameweek 22
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (25')
Fornaroli (58'), Da Silva (76')
Feb 3, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Victory
3-1
Wellington
Fornaroli (32'), Brimmer (54'), Juric (90+1')
Zawada (13')
Apr 29, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Victory
3-1
Wellington
D'Agostino (2'), Brimmer (68' pen.), Rojas (78')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
Sandoval (26' pen.)
Wootton (13'), Surman (71'), Pennington (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC19125237181941
2Western UnitedWestern Utd20105540281235
3Melbourne CityMelbourne City19104527171034
4Melbourne VictoryVictory209653123833
5Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United199643935433
6Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney1994643321131
7Sydney FCSydney FC1985641301129
8Macarthur207493330325
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets186482728-122
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast204972137-1621
11Wellington PhoenixWellington1954101830-1219
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2025131345-3211
13Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar1815122037-178


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