Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.06%) and 0-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.