Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Manchester City has a probability of 30.2% and a draw has a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.22%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Manchester City win is 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.36%).
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
47.79% ( 0.56) | 22.01% ( -0.42) | 30.2% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 66.5% ( 1.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.71% ( 1.98) | 33.29% ( -1.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.94% ( 2.23) | 55.06% ( -2.24) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.51% ( 0.93) | 14.49% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.52% ( 1.78) | 42.48% ( -1.78) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( 0.89) | 22.23% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.34% ( 1.33) | 55.65% ( -1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.52% Total : 47.79% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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