Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match.