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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Plymouth Argyle

Norwich
2 - 1
Plymouth

Sargent (67'), Phillips (74' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Whittaker (10')
Randell (18'), Foster (19'), Sorinola (30'), Miller (35'), Houghton (70'), Devine (70'), Forshaw (80'), Pleguezuelo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Preston
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Plymouth Argyle

Both teams enter Friday's contest in contrasting form, but high-flying Norwich cannot take Plymouth lightly considering their thumping by the Pilgrims in the reverse fixture. However, the Canaries are in a strong position this time around to gain revenge and have plenty of attacking options at their disposal to outscore their opponents en route to an important victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 69.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
69.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.25% (0.0030000000000001 0) 12.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 48.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.37% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)10.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04%80.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 69.71%
    Plymouth Argyle 12.03%
    Draw 18.25%
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.05%
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.11%
4-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84%
5-0 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 69.71%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 18.25%
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.02%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 12.03%

How you voted: Norwich vs Plymouth

Norwich City
87.5%
Draw
10.9%
Plymouth Argyle
1.6%
64
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Plymouth
6-2
Norwich
Whittaker (15', 45+3', 59'), Scarr (35'), Azaz (45+5'), Cundle (90+7')
Scarr (68')
Idah (72', 78')
Mar 14, 2009 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Plymouth
Mooney (53')
Doherty (42'), Mooney (54'), Russell (65')
Russell (90')

Seip (7')
Sep 13, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Norwich
Gallagher (90')
Timar (20'), Walton (55')
Timar (34')
Sibierski (59'), Lupoli (15')
Omozusi (22'), Lupoli (43')
Dec 4, 2007 3pm
Norwich
2-1
Plymouth
Huckerby (87' pen.), Evans (2')
Russell (57')
Timar (89')
Hayles (38'), Nalis (45'), Connolly (86'), Ebanks-Blake (90')
Nov 10, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Norwich
Connolly (47'), Norris (49'), R Martin (26')
Timar (5')

Russell (30'), Shackell (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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