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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Plymouth Argyle

Norwich
2 - 1
Plymouth

Sargent (67'), Phillips (74' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Whittaker (10')
Randell (18'), Foster (19'), Sorinola (30'), Miller (35'), Houghton (70'), Devine (70'), Forshaw (80'), Pleguezuelo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Preston
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Plymouth Argyle

Both teams enter Friday's contest in contrasting form, but high-flying Norwich cannot take Plymouth lightly considering their thumping by the Pilgrims in the reverse fixture. However, the Canaries are in a strong position this time around to gain revenge and have plenty of attacking options at their disposal to outscore their opponents en route to an important victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 69.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
69.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.25% (0.0030000000000001 0) 12.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 48.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.37% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)10.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04%80.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 69.71%
    Plymouth Argyle 12.03%
    Draw 18.25%
Norwich CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.05%
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.11%
4-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84%
5-0 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 69.71%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 18.25%
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.02%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 12.03%

How you voted: Norwich vs Plymouth

Norwich City
87.5%
Draw
10.9%
Plymouth Argyle
1.6%
64
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Plymouth
6-2
Norwich
Whittaker (15', 45+3', 59'), Scarr (35'), Azaz (45+5'), Cundle (90+7')
Scarr (68')
Idah (72', 78')
Mar 14, 2009 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Plymouth
Mooney (53')
Doherty (42'), Mooney (54'), Russell (65')
Russell (90')

Seip (7')
Sep 13, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Norwich
Gallagher (90')
Timar (20'), Walton (55')
Timar (34')
Sibierski (59'), Lupoli (15')
Omozusi (22'), Lupoli (43')
Dec 4, 2007 3pm
Norwich
2-1
Plymouth
Huckerby (87' pen.), Evans (2')
Russell (57')
Timar (89')
Hayles (38'), Nalis (45'), Connolly (86'), Ebanks-Blake (90')
Nov 10, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Norwich
Connolly (47'), Norris (49'), R Martin (26')
Timar (5')

Russell (30'), Shackell (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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