Norwich2 - 1Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Norwich City 3-1 Plymouth Argyle
Both teams enter Friday's contest in contrasting form, but high-flying Norwich cannot take Plymouth lightly considering their thumping by the Pilgrims in the reverse fixture. However, the Canaries are in a strong position this time around to gain revenge and have plenty of attacking options at their disposal to outscore their opponents en route to an important victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 69.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
69.72% ( -0) | 18.25% ( 0) | 12.03% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% ( -0) | 41.96% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( -0) | 64.37% ( 0) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.12% ( -0) | 10.88% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.98% ( -0) | 35.02% ( 0) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.96% ( 0) | 45.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.04% | 80.96% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-0 @ 12.05% 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 8.91% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.11% 4-0 @ 4.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.84% 5-0 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.92% Total : 69.71% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.25% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.03% |
