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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Norwich City |
25.33% ( -0.31) | 22.36% ( -0.39) | 52.31% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 60.99% ( 1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.24% ( 1.53) | 38.75% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.93% ( 1.6) | 61.06% ( -1.6) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.71% ( 0.58) | 28.28% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.99% ( 0.73) | 64.01% ( -0.73) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.05% ( 0.78) | 14.95% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.65% ( 1.47) | 43.35% ( -1.47) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.53% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.05% Total : 52.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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