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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Norwich City |
25.33% ( -0.31) | 22.36% ( -0.39) | 52.31% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 60.99% ( 1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.24% ( 1.53) | 38.75% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.93% ( 1.6) | 61.06% ( -1.6) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.71% ( 0.58) | 28.28% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.99% ( 0.73) | 64.01% ( -0.73) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.05% ( 0.78) | 14.95% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.65% ( 1.47) | 43.35% ( -1.47) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.53% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.05% Total : 52.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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