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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Luton Town has a probability of 33.88% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Luton Town win is 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.93%).
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Luton Town |
38.8% ( 0.16) | 27.31% ( 0.49) | 33.88% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( -1.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.21% ( -2.03) | 55.79% ( 2.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.08% ( -1.68) | 76.92% ( 1.68) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( -0.87) | 27.98% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% ( -1.12) | 63.61% ( 1.12) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.01% ( -1.43) | 30.98% ( 1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.71% ( -1.71) | 67.29% ( 1.7) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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