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Europa League
Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadionul Orasenesc
Ludogorets

Petrocub
1 - 2
Ludogorets

Ambros (28')
Jardan (7'), Puscas (35'), Ambros (48'), Mudrac (58'), Caruntu (90+2')
Mudrac (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Delev (75'), Rick (90+3')
Camara (30'), Yordanov (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Petrocub Hincesti and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Petrocub Hincesti

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Last Game: Ludogorets 4-0 Petrocub
Thursday, August 22 at 7pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Ludogorets Razgrad

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ludogorets 4-0 Petrocub
Thursday, August 22 at 7pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Petrocub Hincesti 1-2 Ludogorets Razgrad (Ludogorets Razgrad win 6-1 on aggregate)

 Needing to win by at least four goals in 90 minutes to keep the tie alive, Petrocub will have to go all out from the start in Moldova on Thursday night. As a result, there should be spaces for Ludogorets to exploit in the Hincesti Lions' defence, meaning that we can envisage the Eagles extending their aggregate advantage even further. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 14.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Petrocub Hincesti win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ludogorets Razgrad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ludogorets Razgrad.

Result
Petrocub HincestiDrawLudogorets Razgrad
14.46% (-11.123 -11.12) 19.79% (-5.403 -5.4) 65.75% (16.533 16.53)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-1.013 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (7.809 7.81)43.23% (-7.8 -7.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.38% (7.27 7.27)65.63% (-7.262 -7.26)
Petrocub Hincesti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.9% (-7.442 -7.44)42.1% (7.451 7.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.48% (-7.141 -7.14)78.52% (7.148 7.15)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69% (8.443 8.44)12.31% (-8.435 -8.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.9% (15.284 15.28)38.1% (-15.274 -15.27)
Score Analysis
    Petrocub Hincesti 14.46%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 65.75%
    Draw 19.79%
Petrocub HincestiDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 4.48% (-3.135 -3.14)
2-1 @ 4.06% (-2.287 -2.29)
2-0 @ 1.94% (-2.098 -2.1)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.537 -0.54)
3-1 @ 1.17% (-1.071 -1.07)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 14.46%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-2.588 -2.59)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-2.006 -2.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.739 -0.74)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 19.79%
0-2 @ 11.37% (2.479 2.48)
0-1 @ 10.85% (-0.45 -0.45)
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.414 0.41)
0-3 @ 7.94% (3.278 3.28)
1-3 @ 6.87% (1.928 1.93)
0-4 @ 4.16% (2.325 2.33)
1-4 @ 3.6% (1.655 1.66)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.353 0.35)
0-5 @ 1.74% (1.165 1.17)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.527 0.53)
1-5 @ 1.51% (0.896 0.9)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 65.75%

How you voted: Petrocub vs Ludogorets

Petrocub Hincesti
15.1%
Draw
13.2%
Ludogorets Razgrad
71.7%
53
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 7pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Ludogorets
4-0
Petrocub
Duah (23'), Seco (59'), Almeida (90+1', 90+4')
Piotrowski (51')

Platica (28')
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