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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Scotland national football team

Poland
1 - 2
Scotland

Piatkowski (59')
Zielinski (79'), Buksa (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGinn (3'), Robertson (90+3')
McLean (31'), Christie (70'), McGinn (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Poland and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 5-1 Poland
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Scotland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 1-0 Croatia
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Poland 2-1 Scotland

 These nations played out a five-goal thriller back in September, and more goals could flow in Warsaw, as the home side are particularly shaky at the back. However, Scotland often fail to make the most of their chances and could ultimately be punished by their Polish counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
PolandDrawScotland
52.99% (1.396 1.4) 22.53% (-0.343 -0.34) 24.48% (-1.053 -1.05)
Both teams to score 59.44% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (0.593 0.59)40.38% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (0.609 0.61)62.76% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7% (0.693 0.69)15.29% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (1.286 1.29)44.01% (-1.287 -1.29)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)29.82% (0.506 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1% (-0.61600000000001 -0.62)65.9% (0.614 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Poland 52.99%
    Scotland 24.48%
    Draw 22.52%
PolandDrawScotland
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.182 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.218 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.156 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 52.99%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 24.48%

How you voted: Poland vs Scotland

Poland
57.2%
Draw
18.4%
Scotland
24.4%
250
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Scotland
2-3
Poland
Gilmour (46'), McTominay (76')
Szymanski (8'), Lewandowski (44' pen.), Zalewski (90+7' pen.)
Dawidowicz (35'), Zalewski (52'), Slisz (84')
> Preview
Mar 24, 2022 7.45pm
International Friendly
Scotland
1-1
Poland
Tierney (68')
Piatek (90+4' pen.)
Reca (70')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Scotland
2-2
Poland
> Match Report
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Poland
2-2
Scotland
> Match Report
Mar 5, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
0-1
Scotland
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
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