Nations League | League A
Oct 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Poland3 - 3Croatia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Poland 1-3 Portugal
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Poland | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 3 | -3 | 0 |
We said: Poland 1-1 Croatia
Lewandowski cannot do it all on his own for Poland, who have failed to pull up trees for a number of months now, although Croatia were fortunate to come away with all of the spoils against Scotland. While the visitors may just edge it on paper, it would not be surprising to see a low-scoring stalemate in Warsaw, as both sides remain firmly in contention for a coveted top-two placement. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Poland had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Croatia |
31.08% ( -0.19) | 24.6% ( -0.05) | 44.31% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 57.59% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
