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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Preston North End in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Preston North End.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Rotherham United |
68.48% ( 0.45) | 18.75% ( -0.23) | 12.76% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 49.56% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.61% ( 0.48) | 42.39% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.2% ( 0.48) | 64.79% ( -0.48) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.67% ( 0.26) | 11.32% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.01% ( 0.56) | 35.99% ( -0.56) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.89% ( -0.05) | 44.11% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.78% ( -0.05) | 80.21% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.72% Total : 68.47% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 18.75% | 0-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.28% Total : 12.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 35 |
3 | Burnley | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
4 | Sunderland | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
5 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 27 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 22 |
11 | Bristol City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
24 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
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