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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 81.17%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 6.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.26%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
81.17% ( -0.79) | 12.4% ( 0.46) | 6.42% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 46.36% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.56% ( -0.96) | 32.43% ( 0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.93% ( -1.12) | 54.07% ( 1.12) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.92% ( -0.34) | 6.08% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.9% ( -0.95) | 23.09% ( 0.95) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.36% ( 0.26) | 50.64% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.9% ( 0.17) | 85.1% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.22) 5-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.73% Total : 81.16% | 1-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.67% Total : 12.4% | 0-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 2% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.33% Total : 6.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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