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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deepdale
Middlesbrough logo

Preston
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Millar (23'), Riis Jakobsen (60')
Storey (86'), Browne (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Azaz (57')
McGree (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-1 Middlesbrough

With momentum in their favour, Preston are justifiably favourites to come through this contest on home territory. However, Boro are in a position where they need a response, and we are backing Carrick's side to deliver, even if it is only in the form of a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
32.94% (-0.148 -0.15) 24.16% (0.208 0.21) 42.89% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.94% (-0.81 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52% (-1.035 -1.04)42.48% (1.037 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (-1.041 -1.04)64.88% (1.045 1.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-0.584 -0.58)25.08% (0.585 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.816 -0.82)59.77% (0.817 0.82)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)19.99% (0.455 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.82% (-0.736 -0.74)52.18% (0.738 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 32.94%
    Middlesbrough 42.9%
    Draw 24.16%
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.257 0.26)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 42.9%

How you voted: Preston vs Middlesbrough

Preston North End
56.9%
Draw
22.2%
Middlesbrough
20.8%
72
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
4-0
Preston
Jones (16', 37'), Van den Berg (26'), Bangura (90+4')

Potts (65'), Hughes (82')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Middlesbrough
4-0
Preston
Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Preston
2-1
Middlesbrough
Riis Jakobsen (35'), Storey (90+1')
Akpom (8')
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Preston
4-1
Middlesbrough
Browne (24'), Fry (35' og.), Riis Jakobsen (53', 74' pen.)
van den Berg (45'), Johnson (45'), McCann (56')
Tavernier (48')
Daniels (45'), McNair (45'), Dijksteel (58'), Fry (66'), Jones (72'), Crooks (84')
McNair (73')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Middlesbrough
1-2
Preston
McNair (33')
Evans (77'), Riis Jakobsen (81')
Browne (63'), Evans (75'), Earl (85'), Johnson (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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