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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deepdale
Middlesbrough logo

Preston
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Millar (23'), Riis Jakobsen (60')
Storey (86'), Browne (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Azaz (57')
McGree (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-1 Middlesbrough

With momentum in their favour, Preston are justifiably favourites to come through this contest on home territory. However, Boro are in a position where they need a response, and we are backing Carrick's side to deliver, even if it is only in the form of a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
32.94% (-0.148 -0.15) 24.16% (0.208 0.21) 42.89% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.94% (-0.81 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52% (-1.035 -1.04)42.48% (1.037 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (-1.041 -1.04)64.88% (1.045 1.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-0.584 -0.58)25.08% (0.585 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.816 -0.82)59.77% (0.817 0.82)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)19.99% (0.455 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.82% (-0.736 -0.74)52.18% (0.738 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 32.94%
    Middlesbrough 42.9%
    Draw 24.16%
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.257 0.26)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 42.9%

How you voted: Preston vs Middlesbrough

Preston North End
56.9%
Draw
22.2%
Middlesbrough
20.8%
72
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
4-0
Preston
Jones (16', 37'), Van den Berg (26'), Bangura (90+4')

Potts (65'), Hughes (82')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Middlesbrough
4-0
Preston
Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Preston
2-1
Middlesbrough
Riis Jakobsen (35'), Storey (90+1')
Akpom (8')
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Preston
4-1
Middlesbrough
Browne (24'), Fry (35' og.), Riis Jakobsen (53', 74' pen.)
van den Berg (45'), Johnson (45'), McCann (56')
Tavernier (48')
Daniels (45'), McNair (45'), Dijksteel (58'), Fry (66'), Jones (72'), Crooks (84')
McNair (73')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Middlesbrough
1-2
Preston
McNair (33')
Evans (77'), Riis Jakobsen (81')
Browne (63'), Evans (75'), Earl (85'), Johnson (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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