Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.