Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Airdrieonians in this match.