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Celtic logo
Scottish League Cup | Quarter-Finals
Sep 22, 2024 at 3pm UK
Celtic Park
Falkirk

Celtic
5 - 2
Falkirk

Bernardo (21'), Idah (70', 72'), Kuhn (81', 84')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Maciver (11'), Yeats (45+1')
Tait (73'), Mackie (77')
McKenna (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish League Cup clash between Celtic and Falkirk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 5-1 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Airdrieonians 0-2 Falkirk
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Celtic 4-0 Falkirk

Although Falkirk have had a strong start to the season, Celtic appear unstoppable in their early matches and will be heavy favourites thanks to their superior squad and home advantage. The Bhoys have conceded just twice all campaign and are unlikely to allow Falkirk many opportunities, while their attacking players should cause plenty of trouble, suggesting this will be a big victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Falkirk had a probability of 7.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a Falkirk win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawFalkirk
79.09% (-1.461 -1.46) 13.37% (0.906 0.91) 7.54% (0.5521 0.55)
Both teams to score 48.85% (-0.907 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.37% (-2.563 -2.56)32.63% (2.56 2.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.7% (-3.024 -3.02)54.29% (3.019 3.02)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.49% (-0.797 -0.8)6.51% (0.794 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.7% (-2.224 -2.22)24.3% (2.221 2.22)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.25% (-0.522 -0.52)47.75% (0.518 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.95% (-0.391 -0.39)83.05% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 79.08%
    Falkirk 7.54%
    Draw 13.37%
CelticDrawFalkirk
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.54 0.54)
3-0 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.765 0.77)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 7.21% (-0.332 -0.33)
4-1 @ 5.33% (-0.328 -0.33)
5-0 @ 3.94% (-0.378 -0.38)
5-1 @ 2.91% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.152 -0.15)
6-0 @ 1.79% (-0.265 -0.27)
6-1 @ 1.33% (-0.219 -0.22)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 79.08%
1-1 @ 6.28% (0.482 0.48)
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.408 0.41)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 13.37%
1-2 @ 2.32% (0.146 0.15)
0-1 @ 2.3% (0.273 0.27)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 7.54%

How you voted: Celtic vs Falkirk

Celtic
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Falkirk
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2021 7.30pm
Third Round
Celtic
3-0
Falkirk
Forrest (56'), Christie (58'), Elyounoussi (79')
rhs 2.0
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