Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica |
17.36% ( -2.43) | 21.03% ( -1.21) | 61.61% ( 3.63) |
Both teams to score 53.33% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.8% ( 1.55) | 43.2% ( -1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.4% ( 1.51) | 65.6% ( -1.51) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.66% ( -1.78) | 38.34% ( 1.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.9% ( -1.75) | 75.1% ( 1.75) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.49% ( 1.65) | 13.5% ( -1.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.46% ( 3.2) | 40.54% ( -3.2) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.36% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.03% | 0-2 @ 10.37% ( 0.51) 0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.93% ( 0.72) 1-3 @ 6.64% ( 0.4) 0-4 @ 3.47% ( 0.54) 1-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.28) 1-5 @ 1.33% ( 0.22) Other @ 3.06% Total : 61.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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