MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 07:52:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Rio Ave

Portimonense
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Carlinhos (63'), Varela (90+7')
Carlinhos (82'), Estrela (90+5'), Davis (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oudrhiri (21'), Pantalon (83')
Manuel (89'), Boateng (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Portimonense
Saturday, May 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 1-1 Rio Ave

This is arguably the biggest game of the season for Portimonense, who will know that anything less than three points will likely see them end the season in the relegation playoff, or worse. Unfortunately for the hosts, they are facing a Rio Ave side that are unbeaten in 10 league games, holding the likes of Sporting and Braga to draws in that time. This should be an intriguing contest, but we feel both sides will have to settle for a point apiece at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawRio Ave
25.94% (-0.715 -0.72) 26.76% (0.318 0.32) 47.3% (0.4 0.4)
Both teams to score 47.52% (-1.458 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (-1.611 -1.61)56.76% (1.614 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3% (-1.308 -1.31)77.7% (1.31 1.31)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (-1.487 -1.49)37.47% (1.49 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-1.489 -1.49)74.25% (1.492 1.49)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.511 -0.51)24.01% (0.514 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.736 -0.74)58.27% (0.739 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 25.94%
    Rio Ave 47.3%
    Draw 26.76%
PortimonenseDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.94%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9% (0.543 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.59 0.59)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.289 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.35% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.3%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Rio Ave

Portimonense
30.8%
Draw
46.2%
Rio Ave
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 16
Rio Ave
2-0
Portimonense
Boateng (54'), Manuel (89')
Sa (30')

Dener (76'), Ventura (78'), Pedrao (82')
Apr 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Portimonense
2-2
Rio Ave
Junior (82', 90+7')
Patrick (19'), Costinha (74')
Oct 24, 2022 8.15pm
May 1, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 30
Portimonense
0-0
Rio Ave
Dener (89'), Ewerton (90+2')
Jan 8, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 13
Rio Ave
3-0
Portimonense
Pele (51' pen.), Meshino (54'), Mane (78')

Moufi (50'), Antonio (84'), Medeiros (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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