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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Arouca

Benfica
vs.
Arouca

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Benfica
Sunday, May 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, May 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Benfica 2-3 Arouca

 Benfica could come into the weekend's fixtures deflated having recently lost out on the league title. Considering this, as well as the fact that Arouca have been in great form under manager Sousa, the away side could take advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 75.35%. A draw has a probability of 14.6% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 10.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 3-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.58%), while for an Arouca win it is 1-2 (2.99%).

Result
BenficaDrawArouca
75.35% (-0.178 -0.18) 14.62% (0.084 0.08) 10.02% (0.089099999999998 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.77% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.15% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)29.84% (0.144 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49% (-0.178 -0.18)51% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.38% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)6.62% (0.0639 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.4% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)24.59% (0.175 0.18)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72% (0.057000000000002 0.06)40.27% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1% (0.052 0.05)76.9% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 75.35%
    Arouca 10.03%
    Draw 14.62%
BenficaDrawArouca
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 8.09% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 6.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.49% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 3.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 75.35%
1-1 @ 6.58% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 14.62%
1-2 @ 2.99% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.43% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 10.03%

Who will win Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Arouca?

Benfica
Draw
Arouca
Benfica
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Arouca
66.7%
3
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 16
Arouca
0-3
Benfica

Montero (14'), Kouassi (76')
Silva (39'), Kokcu (47'), Musa (85')
Cabral (72'), Luis (79')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Arouca
0-2
Benfica

Montero (25'), Fernandes (39'), Kouassi (57')
Di Maria (26'), Cabral (74')
Silva (35'), Guedes (45')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Arouca
0-3
Benfica
Mario (25', 54'), Musa (80')
> Preview
Aug 5, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Benfica
4-0
Arouca
Gilberto (8'), Silva (42', 86'), Fernandez (45+6')
Luis (55'), Weigl (82'), Silva (83')

Opoku (1')
Quaresma (45+1')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
Arouca
0-2
Benfica

Adilio (46'), Moreira (56'), Quaresma (90+1'), Ba (90+3'), Kouassi (90+5')
Nunez (32' pen.), Ramos (90+2')
Grimaldo (43')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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