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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
Oct 19, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Borja (49' pen.)
Pezzella (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (26')
Bouzat (45'), Jonas Rodriguez Lucas (86')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Platense 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, October 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Racing
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
59.22% (-0.295 -0.3) 23.08% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 17.7% (0.386 0.39)
Both teams to score 47.58% (0.97 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (0.919 0.92)51.23% (-0.92 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (0.8 0.8)73.06% (-0.79899999999999 -0.8)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (0.223 0.22)16.98% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.92% (0.395 0.39)47.08% (-0.395 -0.39)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.31% (1.016 1.02)42.69% (-1.017 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.97% (0.852 0.85)79.03% (-0.852 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 59.21%
    Velez Sarsfield 17.7%
    Draw 23.07%
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.85% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-0 @ 11.39% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.052 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 59.21%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.7%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
River Plate
5-0
Velez Sarsfield
Colidio (6', 45'), Borja (20', 31', 55')
Aliendro (45+2')

Gomez (27'), Florentin (53'), Bouzat (65')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
River Plate
Aquino (22'), Castro (60')
Gomez (82'), Romero (86'), Florentin (90+3'), Gordillo (90+6')

Perez (49')
May 30, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 18
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Pratto (52'), Ortega (86')
Godin (31'), Gianetti (48')
Rojas (26'), Beltran (82')
de la Cruz (43'), Solari (57'), Herrera (69')
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Beltran (7'), De la Cruz (30')
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield19115332131938
2HuracanHuracan199822091135
3TalleresTalleres198832420432
4UnionUnion198652118330
5Atletico TucumanTucuman208662021-130
6Instituto198562517829
7Racing ClubRacing198472620628
8Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
9EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
10Deportivo Riestra198472222028
11River PlateRiver Plate196942113827
12IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
13Platense197661716127
14BelgranoBelgrano196852221126
15TigreTigre196762523225
16Boca Juniors196762121025
17Rosario CentralRosario206682220224
18GimnasiaGimnasia196671919024
19Independiente Rivadavia206681320-724
20Central CordobaC. Cordoba196582226-423
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs196491519-422
22San Lorenzo195681518-321
23BanfieldBanfield195681823-521
24Sarmiento204971520-521
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB195681322-921
26LanusLanus194871927-820
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa193791528-1316
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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