Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield2 - 2River Plate
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Rosario
Tuesday, May 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, May 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Cristal 1-1 River Plate
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Velez Sarsfield 0-2 River Plate
As good as Velez Sarsfield have been defensively at home, River have been far more consistent from one match to another and we expect their backline to be relatively comfortable containing an attack without much quality. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | River Plate |
26.44% ( -0.74) | 26.66% ( 0.4) | 46.91% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( -1.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
