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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 0-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
15.3% ( -0.21) | 18.1% ( 0.02) | 66.6% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 59.21% ( -0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.67% ( -0.54) | 33.32% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.9% ( -0.62) | 55.09% ( 0.62) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.28% ( -0.6) | 34.72% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.55% ( -0.64) | 71.44% ( 0.64) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.7% ( -0.1) | 9.29% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.63% ( -0.25) | 31.37% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 15.3% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.1% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.21% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.77% Total : 66.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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