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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Almere City |
43.92% ( 0.57) | 24.33% ( 0.1) | 31.74% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 58.84% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.29% ( -0.71) | 43.7% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.9% ( -0.7) | 66.09% ( 0.7) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% ( -0.04) | 20.05% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.73% ( -0.07) | 52.27% ( 0.07) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( -0.75) | 26.4% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( -1.02) | 61.56% ( 1.02) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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