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Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 0
Almere City

van der Venne (41'), Margaret (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 Nijmegen
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Almere City

With the home side having recently earned a surprise draw with FC Twente, they should not be ruled out here. However, we feel that the two sides will play out a low-scoring draw that will not necessarily suit either club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAlmere City
43.92% (0.569 0.57) 24.33% (0.096999999999998 0.1) 31.74% (-0.666 -0.67)
Both teams to score 58.84% (-0.634 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (-0.706 -0.71)43.7% (0.707 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (-0.696 -0.7)66.09% (0.696 0.7)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)20.05% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)52.27% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.755 -0.75)26.4% (0.756 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-1.016 -1.02)61.56% (1.017 1.02)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 43.92%
    Almere City 31.74%
    Draw 24.33%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 43.92%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.74%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Almere City

RKC Waalwijk
34.3%
Draw
48.6%
Almere City
17.1%
35
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 12.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Almere City
1-0
RKC Waalwijk
Hansen (37')
Apr 4, 2024 7pm
Oct 7, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 8
Almere City
1-0
RKC Waalwijk
Robinet (32')
Mbe Soh (90+5')

Meijers (36')
Feb 15, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 25
RKC Waalwijk
0-1
Almere City

Seys (64')
Receveur (28')
Receveur (25'), Meijer (63'), Loen (71')
Sep 28, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 7
Almere City
2-1
RKC Waalwijk
Vossebelt (42', 79')
Receveur (19'), Calcun (72'), Soleri (79'), Vossebelt (80')
Koenraad (75')
Drost (45'), Baggerman (71'), Vaessen (78'), Hansson (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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