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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
41.95% ( -0.87) | 23.51% ( 0.02) | 34.53% ( 0.85) |
Both teams to score 62.84% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.1% ( 0.11) | 38.89% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.79% ( 0.12) | 61.21% ( -0.12) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.08% ( -0.33) | 18.92% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.57% ( -0.55) | 50.42% ( 0.55) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% ( 0.52) | 22.49% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.95% ( 0.76) | 56.05% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.46% Total : 41.95% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.33% Total : 34.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 39 |
2 | Ajax | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 32 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Feyenoord | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
5 | FC Twente | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 23 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |