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Romania national football team
European Championship | Round of 16
Jul 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Netherlands national football team

Romania
0 - 3
Netherlands


Marin (67'), Stanciu (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gakpo (20'), Malen (83', 90+3')
Dumfries (78'), Malen (90+4')

The Match

Analysis

Sports Mole provides an in-depth analysis of Netherlands' 3-0 win over Romania in the last-16 stage of Euro 2024, including highlights, man of the match and the best statistics.

Match Report

Netherlands secure their place in the Euro 2024 quarter-finals with a commanding 3-0 win over Romania thanks to a Cody Gakpo strike and a Donyell Malen brace.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship clash between Romania and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Romania could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 last-16 clash against the Netherlands.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Slovakia 1-1 Romania
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Austria
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Romania had a probability of 26.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Romania win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawNetherlands
26.11% (-0.457 -0.46) 26.82% (-0.103 -0.1) 47.07% (0.558 0.56)
Both teams to score 47.48% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.13% (0.094000000000001 0.09)56.87% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.21% (0.074000000000002 0.07)77.79% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)37.38% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (-0.335 -0.34)74.17% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.307 0.31)24.17% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (0.435 0.44)58.5% (-0.435 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Romania 26.11%
    Netherlands 47.07%
    Draw 26.81%
RomaniaDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-1 @ 6.21% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.04% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 26.11%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 9.11% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.07%

How you voted: Romania vs Netherlands

Romania
36.1%
Netherlands
63.9%
728
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