We said: Romania 1-0 Bulgaria
Bulgaria are capable of making this a tricky match for Romania, and we are not expecting too many goals in Tuesday's international friendly. Romania can call upon the greater quality, though, and we are therefore predicting a narrow home success here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
-1.19) 
0.46) 
