MX23RW : Monday, December 30 16:48:32| >> :60:40:40:
Colombia national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Romania national football team

Colombia
3 - 2
Romania

Cordoba (6'), Arias (35'), Asprilla (79')
Cordoba (74'), Lerma (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hagi (84'), Tanase (90+3')
Marin (10'), Marin (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Colombia and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 0-1 Colombia
Friday, March 22 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Romania

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Romania 1-1 N. Ireland
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

We said: Colombia 2-0 Romania

 We expect Romania to give a better account of themselves than they did against Northern Ireland, that draw potentially acting as the catalyst for an improved performance here. However, we cannot back against Colombia, who may prevail through a goal in each half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 43.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Romania had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Romania win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
ColombiaDrawRomania
43.75% (0.031000000000006 0.03) 28.14% (0.147 0.15) 28.1% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 45.21% (-0.5 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.56% (-0.581 -0.58)60.43% (0.577 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.43% (-0.442 -0.44)80.57% (0.438 0.44)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (-0.256 -0.26)27.46% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (-0.333 -0.33)62.94% (0.329 0.33)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.32% (-0.47 -0.47)37.67% (0.466 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54% (-0.459 -0.46)74.45% (0.455 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 43.75%
    Romania 28.1%
    Draw 28.13%
ColombiaDrawRomania
1-0 @ 13.37% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 43.75%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.34% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.09% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 28.1%

How you voted: Colombia vs Romania

Colombia
74.0%
Draw
8.0%
Romania
18.0%
50
rhs 2.0
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13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
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15Crystal Palace194872027-720
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