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Major League Soccer
St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CityPark
LA Galaxy

St Louis City
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Teuchert (9'), Hartel (68')
Teuchert (38'), Horn (53'), Durkin (74'), Klauss (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pec (46')
Paintsil (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-4 St Louis City
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Atlanta
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: St Louis City 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

 While St Louis have been very poor this season, they have delivered good attacking returns in recent weeks, netting nine goals in their last three matches in all competitions. Galaxy, on the other hand, have done their best work this season at home, while their away record is average at best. There should be plenty of chances created at both ends in this match, but we feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Louis City in this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
39.16% (0.11 0.11) 23.6% (0.02 0.02) 37.25% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 63.01% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (-0.104 -0.1)38.87% (0.105 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (-0.109 -0.11)61.18% (0.11 0.11)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)52.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)21.08% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (-0.172 -0.17)53.9% (0.173 0.17)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 39.16%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 37.25%
    Draw 23.59%
St Louis CityDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.81% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.45% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.59%
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 37.25%

How you voted: St Louis City vs LA Galaxy

St Louis City
21.1%
Draw
31.6%
Los Angeles Galaxy
47.4%
19
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 2.30am
LA Galaxy
3-3
St Louis City
Joveljic (3'), Paintsil (51'), Yoshida (90+5')
Caceres (35'), Paintsil (45+1'), Puig (65')
Caceres (90+9')
Ostrak (27'), Nilsson (60'), McCarthy (88' og.)
Totland (25'), Jackson (51'), Nilsson (70'), Adeniran (83')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2023 1am
LA Galaxy
2-2
St Louis City
Puig (53' pen.), Sharp (82')
Mavinga (50'), Cuevas (90+3'), Cuevas (90+2')
Adeniran (4'), Klauss (28')
Nilsson (22'), Adeniran (52'), Markanich (82'), Hiebert (85')
Adeniran (60')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2023 6pm
St Louis City
1-1
LA Galaxy
Gioacchini (68')
Lowen (8'), Blom (40'), Alm (45+4'), Ostrak (83')
Aguirre (85')
Brugman (52'), Neal (54')
> Preview
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