Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 37.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.