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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
St Louis City

Seattle
2 - 0
St Louis City

Parker (27' og.), Bell (49')
Rothrock (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Durkin (4'), Totland (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-4 Vancouver
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 3-1 St Louis City

Seattle are on fire at the moment, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for them. We fully expect the hosts to cruise to all three points in a relatively comfortable manner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Seattle Sounders.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawSt Louis City
71.95% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 16.89% (0.012 0.01) 11.17% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.12% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)37.88% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.87% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)60.13% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.75% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)9.25% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.73% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)31.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.16% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)43.84% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.01% (-0.012 -0.01)79.99% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 71.94%
    St Louis City 11.17%
    Draw 16.89%
Seattle SoundersDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 11.48%
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 9.12%
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 4.48% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 71.94%
1-1 @ 7.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 16.89%
0-1 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
1-2 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11.17%

How you voted: Seattle vs St Louis City

Seattle Sounders
85.3%
Draw
11.8%
St Louis City
2.9%
34
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
1-2
Seattle
Totland (82')
Vassilev (35'), Blom (39'), Durkin (48')
Hiebert (66' og.), Morris (69')
Kossa-Rienzi (80'), Gomez Andrade (85')
Oct 22, 2023 2am
St Louis City
0-2
Seattle

Parker (75')
Rusnak (23'), Parker (38' og.)
Gomez Andrade (18'), Roldan (32'), Ragen (71'), Chu (80'), Atencio (87'), Lodeiro (90+5')
Apr 9, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
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