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Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
FC Volendam

Excelsior
4 - 0
Volendam

Duijvestijn (41'), Lamprou (43', 67'), Parrott (55')
Benita (26'), Goudmijn (90+3')
Parrott (16'), El Yaakoubi (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Buur (15'), Benamar (30'), Karim (77')
Karim (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-1 Excelsior
Saturday, April 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 FC Volendam

We anticipate a hard-fought encounter in what is a true six-pointer in the Eredivisie fight for survival on Friday. With the hosts' squad decimated by injures and the visitors gaining momentum in their unlikely survival bid, we fancy Volendam to make it back-to-back triumphs and move level with their opponents in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Volendam
52.64% (0.288 0.29) 22.82% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 24.54% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 58.49% (-0.553 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.32% (-0.558 -0.56)41.67% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.92% (-0.566 -0.57)64.08% (0.56699999999999 0.57)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (-0.101 -0.1)15.87% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (-0.186 -0.19)45.09% (0.186 0.19)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)30.47% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.686 -0.69)66.69% (0.68600000000001 0.69)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 52.64%
    FC Volendam 24.54%
    Draw 22.81%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Volendam
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.192 0.19)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Volendam

SBV Excelsior
35.5%
Draw
29.0%
FC Volendam
35.5%
31
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
Volendam
3-1
Excelsior
Benamar (53'), Muhren (57'), De Haan (71')
Ould-Chikh (76')
Driouech (33')
Parrott (70'), Horemans (89')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Volendam
3-2
Excelsior
Van Mieghem (10'), Van Gassel (23' og.), Antonucci (27')
Lamprou (56'), Agrafiotis (78')
Jan 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Excelsior
2-0
Volendam
Mirani (18' og.), Azarkan (80')
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
Volendam
2-5
Excelsior
Muhren (34' pen.), Deul (54')
Eerdhuijzen (36')
Goudmijn (2'), Niemeijer (15'), Dallinga (18'), Azarkan (29'), Chacon (90+4')
Wieffer (22'), El Yaakoubi (33'), Chacon (62')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 3
Excelsior
1-1
Volendam
Dallinga (40')
Muhren (45+1')
Twigt (5'), Kasius (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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