MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:23:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Waalwijk logo

Excelsior
1 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Horemans (28')
de Moes (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, March 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 RKC Waalwijk

Excelsior have been abysmal of late, to say the least, and Waalwijk will be looking to heap more misery on their hosts. However, we can see the teams cancelling each other to settle for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawRKC Waalwijk
46.57% (0.921 0.92) 24.44% (0.064 0.06) 28.99% (-0.983 -0.98)
Both teams to score 56.92% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)45.55% (0.824 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.12% (-0.789 -0.79)67.88% (0.789 0.79)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.057000000000002 0.06)19.66% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (0.094000000000001 0.09)51.64% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (-1.093 -1.09)29.15% (1.093 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (-1.368 -1.37)65.09% (1.368 1.37)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 46.57%
    RKC Waalwijk 28.99%
    Draw 24.44%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Excelsior vs RKC Waalwijk

SBV Excelsior
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
RKC Waalwijk
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 14
RKC Waalwijk
2-2
Excelsior
Oukili (21', 60')
Van den Buijs (74' og.), Baas (80')
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Sep 4, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 5
RKC Waalwijk
5-2
Excelsior
Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
Second Round
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Excelsior
Bilate (53'), Gaari (81')
Gaari (37'), Mulder (88')
Fortes (71')
Koolwijk (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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