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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
46.57% ( 0.92) | 24.44% ( 0.06) | 28.99% ( -0.98) |
Both teams to score 56.92% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.45% ( -0.82) | 45.55% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.12% ( -0.79) | 67.88% ( 0.79) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.34% ( 0.06) | 19.66% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.36% ( 0.09) | 51.64% ( -0.09) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.85% ( -1.09) | 29.15% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.91% ( -1.37) | 65.09% ( 1.37) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
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