MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 04:30:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Waalwijk logo

Excelsior
1 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Horemans (28')
de Moes (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, March 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 RKC Waalwijk

Excelsior have been abysmal of late, to say the least, and Waalwijk will be looking to heap more misery on their hosts. However, we can see the teams cancelling each other to settle for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawRKC Waalwijk
46.57% (0.921 0.92) 24.44% (0.064 0.06) 28.99% (-0.983 -0.98)
Both teams to score 56.92% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)45.55% (0.824 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.12% (-0.789 -0.79)67.88% (0.789 0.79)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.057000000000002 0.06)19.66% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (0.094000000000001 0.09)51.64% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (-1.093 -1.09)29.15% (1.093 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (-1.368 -1.37)65.09% (1.368 1.37)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 46.57%
    RKC Waalwijk 28.99%
    Draw 24.44%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Excelsior vs RKC Waalwijk

SBV Excelsior
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
RKC Waalwijk
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 14
RKC Waalwijk
2-2
Excelsior
Oukili (21', 60')
Van den Buijs (74' og.), Baas (80')
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Sep 4, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 5
RKC Waalwijk
5-2
Excelsior
Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
Second Round
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Excelsior
Bilate (53'), Gaari (81')
Gaari (37'), Mulder (88')
Fortes (71')
Koolwijk (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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