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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Spain national football team
European Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jul 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Germany national football team

Spain
2 - 1
Germany

Olmo (51'), Merino (119')
Le Normand (29'), Torres (74'), Simon (82'), Carvajal (100'), Rodri (110'), Ruiz (120')
Carvajal (120+6')
FT
(aet)
Wirtz (89')
Rudiger (13'), Raum (28'), Andrich (56'), Kroos (67'), Mittelstadt (73'), Schlotterbeck (89'), Wirtz (94'), Undav (113')

The Match

Analysis

Sports Mole analyses Spain's 2-1 victory over Germany in the quarter-finals of Euro 2024, including highlights, man of the match and stats.

Match Report

Germany exit Euro 2024 at the quarter-final stage, losing to Spain 2-1 due to a 119th-minute winner from La Roja substitute Mikel Merino.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final clash between Spain and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final clash with Germany.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Spain 4-1 Georgia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in European Championship
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain359
2Italy304
3Croatia3-32
4Albania3-21

Germany

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Denmark
Saturday, June 29 at 8pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Germany had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%).

Result
SpainDrawGermany
47.32% (-0.572 -0.57) 23.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.79% (0.573 0.57)
Both teams to score 58.66% (0.436 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8% (0.386 0.39)43.2% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4% (0.382 0.38)65.59% (-0.387 -0.39)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)18.43% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.13 -0.13)49.59% (0.124 0.12)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.59999999999999 0.6)28.09% (-0.605 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (0.756 0.76)63.76% (-0.76199999999999 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Spain 47.32%
    Germany 28.79%
    Draw 23.89%
SpainDrawGermany
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.32%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.099 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.79%

How you voted: England vs Switzerland

Winner Match 39
57.0%
Draw
24.7%
Winner Match 37
18.3%
644
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> Match Report
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> Match Report
Build-up
Spain's Lamine Yamal celebrates their second goal on June 30, 2024
Spain lineup vs. Germany: Predicted XI for Euro 2024 quarter-final match
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final clash with Germany.
Jul 3, 16:21
 Germany's Jonathan Tah pictured on June 23, 2024 [IMAGO]
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Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final clash with Spain.
Jul 3, 16:22
 Germany's Toni Kroos in action on March 26, 2024
Spain attacker says La Roja plan to "retire" Germany's Toni Kroos on Friday
Spain's Joselu hopes that his team will "retire" ex-Real Madrid teammate Toni Kroos in Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final with Germany.
Jul 3, 16:29
 Germany's Toni Kroos before the match on June 23, 2024
Euro 2024: Germany's Toni Kroos praises two Spain stars ahead of quarter-final
Germany midfielder Toni Kroos talks up the qualities of two key Spain players ahead of Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final showdown in Stuttgart.
Jul 4, 12:00
 Spain head coach Luis de la Fuente on June 20, 2024
Euro 2024: Spain boss makes incredibly bold claim ahead of Germany showdown
Spain boss Luis de la Fuente says that La Roja "have the best team and the best players" ahead of Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final with Germany.
Jul 4, 18:04
 Germany head coach Julian Nagelsmann reacts on June 23, 2024
Euro 2024: Germany at risk of making unwanted history in Spain clash
Germany are at risk of earning an unwanted slice of Euros history in Friday's quarter-final showdown with Spain at the MHPArena.
Jul 5, 10:10
 Spain's Lamine Yamal celebrates after Dani Olmo scores their first goal on July 5, 2024
Spain 2-1 Germany live commentary: Mikel Merino surely sends Spain into semis
Sports Mole brings you live text coverage of Friday's Euro 2024 quarter-final between Spain and Germany at the MHPArena in Stuttgart.
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