The Match
Match Report
Spain put in an impressive display to claim a narrow 1-0 victory over Italy and seal their place in the last 16 at Euro 2024.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Championship clash between Spain and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 clash with Italy.
Form, Standings, Stats
European Championship
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Croatia
Saturday, June 15 at 5pm in European Championship
Saturday, June 15 at 5pm in European Championship
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Italy | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Albania | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Croatia | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Italy had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Italy win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Italy |
45.44% ( 0.08) | 24.57% ( 0.27) | 29.99% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.11% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
