Friendlies 1
Jun 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Italy0 - 0Turkey
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly fixture between Italy and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Tuesday's friendly fixture against Turkey.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ecuador 0-2 Italy
Sunday, March 24 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, March 24 at 8pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Austria 6-1 Turkey
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Italy 1-1 Turkey
Both nations qualified automatically for Euro 2024, but neither has fully convinced of late - particularly in defence. The two coaches will want to test solutions to some tactical conundrums without morale taking a hit through defeat, so a low-scoring draw could play out at the Dall'Ara. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Turkey |
69.83% ( 0.21) | 17.37% ( -0.16) | 12.8% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
