Sparta Prague

4 - 2

Shamrock

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.