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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
48.75% ( -0) | 24.42% ( -0.01) | 26.83% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.35% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% ( 0.06) | 46.86% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% ( 0.06) | 69.12% ( -0.06) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% ( 0.02) | 19.28% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.97% ( 0.04) | 51.03% ( -0.04) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.57% ( 0.05) | 31.42% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.2% ( 0.05) | 67.8% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.75% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |