MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 16:25:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Fortuna Sittard

Ajax
5 - 0
Sittard

Taylor (9'), Traore (24'), Baas (58'), Rensch (71'), Akpom (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Peterson (35')
Guth (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Sittard
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 Fortuna Sittard

It is too early to tell whether Ajax have left the struggles of last season in the past, but they have produced largely positive results this campaign, and they should come into Wednesday's clash as favourites. However, given the hosts have already played eight competitive games this season, Fortuna could look to take advantage of any early sluggishness from the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
63.59% (0.228 0.23) 20.3% (0.031000000000002 0.03) 16.11% (-0.257 -0.26)
Both teams to score 53.11% (-0.692 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (-0.627 -0.63)42.16% (0.627 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (-0.632 -0.63)64.56% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (-0.127 -0.13)12.6% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.3% (-0.264 -0.26)38.7% (0.265 0.27)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (-0.702 -0.7)39.23% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (-0.665 -0.66)75.94% (0.666 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 63.58%
    Fortuna Sittard 16.11%
    Draw 20.3%
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.32% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.79% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 63.58%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.137 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.3%
0-1 @ 4.63% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.11%

How you voted: Ajax vs Sittard

Ajax
87.3%
Draw
10.3%
Fortuna Sittard
2.4%
126
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Ajax
2-2
Sittard
Taylor (8'), Brobbey (88')
Kaplan (90+6')
Duarte (49'), Sierhuis (66')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sittard
0-0
Ajax
Buijs (37+37'), Dijks (65'), Rosier (90'), Oratmangoen (90+2')
Avila (36'), Steijn (37'), Brobbey (45+6')
Apr 9, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 28
Ajax
4-0
Sittard
Berghuis (6', 27'), Bergwijn (54'), Taylor (86')
Aug 6, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
Sittard
2-3
Ajax
Gladon (6'), Yilmaz (87')
Seuntjens (27'), Ferati (82'), Gladon (88')
Taylor (48'), Rensch (51'), Brobbey (62')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Ajax
5-0
Sittard
Blind (14'), Antony (22'), Rensch (82'), Haller (90' pen., 90+2')

van Osch (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV66002341918
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
4FC Twente6321125711
5Feyenoord523011569
6Groningen623110739
7Sparta RotterdamSparta62317619
8Heracles723269-39
9Willem II622210738
10Ajax42118357
11Go Ahead Eagles621359-47
12Heerenveen7214916-77
13NECNijmegen620467-16
14Fortuna SittardSittard6204612-66
15NAC BredaNAC Breda6204513-86
16PEC Zwolle6114610-44
17Almere CityAlmere City6024217-152
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk6006317-140


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