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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
46.04% ( -0.06) | 23.79% ( 0.04) | 30.17% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.92% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.07% ( -0.17) | 41.93% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.66% ( -0.18) | 64.33% ( 0.18) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.56% ( -0.09) | 18.44% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.38% ( -0.16) | 49.62% ( 0.16) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% ( -0.07) | 26.53% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.26% ( -0.1) | 61.73% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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