Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
37.53% ( 0.26) | 26.21% ( 0.07) | 36.27% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 53.54% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.94% ( -0.32) | 51.06% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.08% ( -0.28) | 72.92% ( 0.28) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.53% ( 0) | 26.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.35% ( 0) | 61.65% ( 0) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( -0.34) | 27.19% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( -0.45) | 62.6% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 8 | 53 | 59 |
2 | RangersRangers | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
8 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | St Johnstone | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |