Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
37.53% ( 0.26) | 26.21% ( 0.07) | 36.27% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 53.54% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.94% ( -0.32) | 51.06% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.08% ( -0.28) | 72.92% ( 0.28) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.53% ( 0) | 26.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.35% ( 0) | 61.65% ( 0) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( -0.34) | 27.19% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( -0.45) | 62.6% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 37 |
2 | Aberdeen | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 33 |
3 | RangersRangers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
5 | Motherwell | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Ross County | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
11 | Hibernian | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Hearts | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |