Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
25.98% ( 0.11) | 25.25% ( -0.01) | 48.78% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 51.98% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.05% ( 0.14) | 50.95% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.18% ( 0.12) | 72.82% ( -0.12) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.72% ( 0.17) | 34.28% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.02% ( 0.18) | 70.98% ( -0.18) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.1% ( 0.02) | 20.9% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.38% ( 0.02) | 53.62% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.98% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
7 | St Mirren | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
9 | Hearts | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
10 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 |
12 | St Johnstone | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 18 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |