Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
55.68% ( -0.68) | 23.41% ( 0.48) | 20.91% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 51.81% ( -1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.7% ( -1.73) | 48.29% ( 1.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.56% ( -1.6) | 70.44% ( 1.61) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% ( -0.86) | 17.18% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.55% ( -1.54) | 47.44% ( 1.54) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.56% ( -0.77) | 37.44% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.78% ( -0.77) | 74.22% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 55.67% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |