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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
3 - 1
QPR

Bae (21'), Tchamadeu (44'), Manhoef (54')
Pearson (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Yang (78')
Varane (43'), Colback (58'), Yang (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 Leeds
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

With no international breaks between themselves and the end of the campaign, Stoke are now staring the possibility of relegation in the face, and we are expecting a timely response from Robins's troops this weekend. QPR were impressive in parts against table-topping Leeds but have struggled massively on the road in recent times, meaning that defeat in the Potteries is likely for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
44.91% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 26.81% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 28.28% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (-0.073 -0.07)55.64% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2% (-0.061 -0.06)76.8% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)24.67% (0.078999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (-0.111 -0.11)59.2% (0.111 0.11)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.93% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.67% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.9%
    Queens Park Rangers 28.28%
    Draw 26.81%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 28.28%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
Draw
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City
62.2%
Draw
15.6%
Queens Park Rangers
22.2%
45
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
QPR
1-1
Stoke
Gibson (62' og.)
Field (22'), Cifuentes (23'), Fox (80'), Ashby (90+4')
Cannon (24')
Johansson (79'), Thompson (86')
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Burger (45')

Hayden (64')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
4-2
Stoke
Dykes (11' pen., 79'), Pearson (89' og.), Willock (90+4')
Colback (86'), Begovic (90+6')
Mmaee (45'), Burger (59')
Stevens (10'), Burger (19'), Campbell (56'), Mmaee (56'), Gooch (74'), Johnson (81')
Stevens (53')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Stoke
0-1
QPR
Adomah (48')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds422513482295388
2Burnley422416257134488
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd42267957332483
4Sunderland422113857381976
5Bristol City421616105445964
6Coventry CityCoventry42189155954563
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4214181051391260
8Middlesbrough421791661511060
9Millwall421612144141060
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn42168184545056
11Watford42168185055-556
12Swansea CitySwansea42159184551-654
13Norwich CityNorwich421314156358553
14Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds421411175664-853
15Queens Park RangersQPR421214164955-650
16Preston North EndPreston421019134351-849
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd421212184360-1748
18Stoke CityStoke421114174354-1147
19Portsmouth421210205066-1646
20Hull City421112194150-945
21Derby CountyDerby421110214454-1043
22Cardiff CityCardiff42915184566-2142
23Luton TownLuton421010223763-2640
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth42913204482-3840


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